Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.344333 0.400619 0.462800 0.536533 0.621528 0.716382 0.830224
2025-04-06 0.240717 0.313086 0.401821 0.518377 0.667201 0.850620 1.093603
2025-04-13 0.184659 0.260359 0.360424 0.501864 0.696097 0.952883 1.317525
2025-04-20 0.154371 0.232485 0.342254 0.506915 0.746709 1.082088 1.585515
2025-04-27 0.138243 0.220347 0.341941 0.533853 0.827651 1.258653 1.936679
2025-05-04 0.123010 0.206380 0.335832 0.549695 0.892080 1.416205 2.275852
2025-05-11 0.108587 0.191024 0.324739 0.555125 0.939399 1.550982 2.592942
2025-05-18 0.095271 0.175212 0.310283 0.552307 0.971687 1.663652 2.884755
2025-05-25 0.083434 0.160038 0.294563 0.544684 0.993913 1.760618 3.158857
2025-06-01 0.074034 0.147780 0.282089 0.540658 1.020970 1.867114 3.458434
2025-06-08 0.064192 0.133201 0.263414 0.522707 1.020314 1.924134 3.675026
2025-06-15 0.062140 0.133466 0.272346 0.557289 1.120083 2.170203 4.258202
2025-06-22 0.054430 0.121383 0.256283 0.542192 1.124770 2.243914 4.532593
2025-06-29 0.047435 0.109799 0.239777 0.524233 1.121924 2.303429 4.787210
2025-07-06 0.041532 0.099677 0.224895 0.507559 1.119331 2.362414 5.045777
2025-07-13 0.038207 0.094836 0.220567 0.512667 1.162433 2.516724 5.512450
2025-07-20 0.036909 0.094516 0.226065 0.539898 1.255841 2.783320 6.238683
2025-07-27 0.034882 0.092139 0.226597 0.555914 1.326171 3.007876 6.897118
2025-08-03 0.032350 0.088131 0.222813 0.561402 1.373168 3.186379 7.472227
2025-08-10 0.029581 0.083097 0.215917 0.558554 1.400321 3.323269 7.967113
2025-08-17 0.026837 0.077714 0.207470 0.550848 1.414971 3.433120 8.410747
2025-08-24 0.024567 0.073273 0.200816 0.546778 1.437893 3.563970 8.915487
2025-08-31 0.021871 0.067227 0.189242 0.528631 1.423717 3.605978 9.213164